Cleat Geeks

Hype/Gripe: Week 5

Week four was a really weird week of fantasy football. We had Julio Jones exploding for 300 yards, DeAndre Hopkins getting only four yards, Terrance West running for 113 yards, and Josh Gordon stepping away from the game for personal reasons. Some of these things may have helped your team or hurt your team, but we can all agree about how unusual it was. This leads to a lot of question marks heading into week five, and on top of those questions, we also have four teams on bye: Chiefs, Jaguars, Saints and Seahawks. There are a lot of fantasy weapons on those four teams, so there will be a lot of maneuvering to create a lineup that will get you a W this week. That’s where I come in! You can use this “Hype/Gripe” or my rankings as tools to assist you this week. Questions, comments, or discussions? You can do that in the comment section, or continue this conversation on Twitter @FantasyFlurry.

In this article, I will be hyping up some players this week, but also will share some gripes on a few others. There is one thing I need to stress: this is not a start/sit article. You can use it as a tool to decide who to start/sit, but not every “hype” means “start,” and vice versa. All “hype” means is I think that player will out-perform their current value and projections. This means I think a player who is a “gripe” will under-perform based on their current value and projections.

rivers

Quarterbacks Who Are Hyped for Week 5

Philip Rivers, vs OAK: The Raiders give up a league-high 326 passing yards per game. Many thought this defense would be among the best in the league, but to say that they have under-performed would be an understatement. The Chargers’ offense should have no problem moving the ball, and this game has all of the signs that point to a shoot-out.

Derek Carr, vs SD: Let me repeat: this game has all of the signs that point to a shoot-out. Carr has played really well so far, and now the biggest thing that scared you about the Chargers’ defense (CB Jason Verrett) is out for the season with a torn ACL. Since Latavius Murray is out, I expect the Raiders to run a bit more early to let Washington and Richard prove themselves, but the passing attack in this game should put on a show.

If You’re Desperate: Ryan Fitzpatrick may never live down his six-interception game a couple weeks ago, but he actually has a good matchup against the Steelers. They were not great against the pass before, and now they may have lost CB Justin Gilbert to a knee injury at practice. The Steelers absolutely stomped the Chiefs last week, yet Alex Smith still put up 17.68 fantasy points. Fitzpatrick should be able to at least match that, even without Eric Decker.

 

Quarterbacks Who Get Gripes for Week 5

Matt Ryan, vs DEN: This is the week Matt Ryan becomes human. The Broncos give up the second-fewest passing yards per game in the league (170), and the fewest yards per attempt (5.6). While it doesn’t take much for Ryan to get above this average, I expect him to struggle in Denver. He has not faced very effective pass rushers so far, and Denver is clearly the best in the league at doing it.

Andy Dalton, vs DAL: It’s not a bad matchup, so what gives? Well, I’ve seen a lot of people and sites rank Dalton in their top-10 or 12 this week, and that just seems ridiculous to me. If you need someone to help you get by this week since your starter is out, you’ll be fine with Dalton, but he is not a top-10 QB throwing to A.J. Green and…that’s about it.

Jerick McKinnon

Running Backs Who Are Hyped for Week 5

Jerick McKinnon, vs HOU: McKinnon put up 95 total yards and a touchdown against a tough matchup with the Giants on Monday night, but more importantly, he received 21 total touches. This is great news as he faces a Texans team that gives up 4.6 YPC on the season, but will likely give up even more without J.J. Watt in their lineup for the rest of the season. McKinnon is a dangerous back that can do it all, and I expect him to feed off the energy of a rowdy Viking crowd.

Terrance West, vs WAS: West received the bulk of the carries last week, which resulted in his first 100-yard rushing day since his very first game in the NFL back on 9/7/2014. Kenneth Dixon will be making his debut this week, but I expect him to be mixed on mostly on passing downs, which doesn’t hurt West. The matchup is also right. The Redskins give up the second-most YPC with 4.9.

If You’re Desperate: Ryan Mathews had a terrible game before his bye that resulted in -5 rushing yards. What we didn’t know was that he was dealing with an ankle injury. Many dropped him in panic after seeing the younger guys get a big workload in that game. After time to get healthy, Mathews should be ready to go this week against the Lions, who give up 4.8 YPC.

 

Running Backs Who Get Gripes for Week 5

Lamar Miller, vs MIN: Miller failed to get 100 total yards just once this season, and he still had 97 in that game. I think this will be his second game that he fails to reach 100 total yards, but he’ll be more in the 70-80 range. There is one streak that I think he will continue though, and that is failing to score a touchdown.

Charles Sims, vs CAR: Sims is just not that good of a football player. He’s a decent receiving option out of the backfield, but that’s it. He was given this golden opportunity served to him on a silver platter, but he squandered it. There have been talks about him seeing a reduced role this week after failing to perform well in the lead back role, he also tweaked his knee last week, and he faces a pissed off Carolina defense. Avoid if possible.

obj

Wide Receivers Who Are Hyped for Week 5

Odell Beckham Jr., vs GB: “Odell Beckham Jr. ‘Not Having Fun Anymore.'” “Giants Coaches Are Ready to Bench Odell Beckham Jr.” These headlines are enough to scare away any sane person, but I never said that describes me. OBJ is my #2 WR this week, but you already knew that if you looked at my rankings. Let me explain. Eli Manning will try to get Beckham involved in this game early and often. He wants him to have “fun,” and fun is catching touchdowns to do the dance you’ve been choreographing all offseason, but haven’t gotten the chance to show it off yet! Eli will be looking for OBJ, and the Packers give up 8.9 passing yards per attempt, which is the second-worst in the league. They will be without Sam Shields yet again, so look for OBJ to use his speed to burn this secondary on Sunday.

Amari Cooper, vs SD: “All the signs that point to a shootout” yeah, yeah yeah. You get it. Crabtree caught three touchdowns last week, so it’s Cooper’s turn this week against a defense missing their #1 CB.

If You’re Desperate: Eddie Royal has played well for the Bears this season, and with the news of Kevin White’s injury, Royal’s value gets another boost. You may have picked him up this week, or he may even still be on waivers. Either way, he’s a good start against the Colts.

 

Wide Receivers Who Get Gripes for Week 5

Julio Jones, vs DEN: This is for the people who still struggle with the concept of this article, “this is not a start/sit article.” This is in bold up above, but I’ll put it in bold again. Broncos, very tough matchup for anybody, right? Now let’s throw in the fact that Julio went for 300 yards last week. Who would you key on if you were the Broncos? Julio also typically does his damage on mid or long-range throws, and Ryan won’t have as much time to let those develop this week. If you have Julio, I can’t imagine you’re sitting him, but lower your expectations a bit.

Will Fuller V., vs MIN: Fuller has proved to be a great weapon in his rookie season, but I view him as a boom-or-bust guy. After Hopkins had a terrible day last week, I expect him to see a few more targets than normal to make up for that. Now throw in the matchup against the Vikings, and voilá, he’s a “gripe.”

ertz

Tight Ends Who Are Hyped for Week 5

Zach Ertz, vs DET: Ertz makes his return from injury this week, and it is in time for a good matchup! The Lions give up 15 fantasy points per week to tight ends, which is second to only the Falcons. He has been able to put in practice time over their bye week, so he should be good to go. In his past five games (dating back to last season), Ertz has 41 catches for 508 yards and a touchdown. This just shows what kind of threat he can be going forward this season. 

Hunter Henry, vs OAK: If Antonio Gates plays, then this is obviously ruined, but I’m guessing he will be inactive again. The rookie has 133 yards and a touchdown in his past two games without Gates in the lineup, and he should keep it going in this good matchup.

 

Tight Ends Who Get Gripes for Week 5

Kyle Rudolph, vs HOU: He is the #2 TE through the first four weeks, so this is obviously not me saying Rudolph is a must-sit. I believe Rudolph will struggle this game since he is a little banged up, and this is a bad matchup. The Texans only give up two (yes two) fantasy points to tight ends per week. This is even more impressive considering the tight ends they have played: Zach Miller, Travis Kelce, Martellus Bennett, and Delanie Walker. Rudolph is always going to have a great chance to come away with a touchdown, but I think his value this week will be touchdown-dependent.

Eric Ebron, vs PHI: I just said the Texans give up only two fantasy points to tight ends this season. That is the second-lowest amount, and the Eagles are the lowest. They give up 1.3 fantasy points to opposing tight ends, and they have given up only six total catches to tight ends through three games. Since Ebron is hurt anyways, he is a must-sit.

 

Thoughts on the “Hype/Gripe?” Leave comments below or ask on Twitter! If you enjoyed it and found it useful, please “like” it below and/or share it over on Twitter!

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